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scott bottorf's avatar

I like what you are getting at in your analysis. One can calculate the average rate of change of a society or geological process by dividing the change of state by the elapsed time. However that is not an accurate assessment of what really goes on. Geologic, and I believe societal, changes mostly change slowly from year to year, and rare events cause monumental changes only infrequently. 100 year floods do 95% of the erosion in the Grand Canyon in brief spurts. Volcanoes devastate huge areas in short periods, yet average ash fall rates are minuscule. Huge societal changes are infrequent,but can be devastating. War, famine, disease, and corruption operate in similar fashion to cause social changes. We need to recognize this in order to properly assess the current state of society, determine how it might change and address the negative changes with sufficient gusto to ameliorate the damage they will cause. Destroyng a sub-optimal system with no idea of how to replace it with something better, and with no analysis is foolhardy.

Under Duress's avatar

What are the chances that all of the events leading up to the current state of the onion were random, organic and not guided by intelligence?

I have a conspiracy theory!!! 😁

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